How much warmer U.S. cities have been since 2021: PlainClimate analysis of NOAA data, published October 8, 2026
In 197 of 215 U.S. places of 100,000 or more people, the complete years since 2021 averaged warmer than the 1991-2020 normal at the place's own NOAA station; the median place ran +1.3°F. The largest departures: Brockton, MA (+4.0°F); New Haven, CT (+3.4°F); Little Rock, AR (+3.0°F).
Every large place, recent years against the normal
| Place | Normal | 2021-2025 | Difference | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brockton, MA | 51.4°F | 55.4°F | +4.0°F | 4 |
| New Haven, CT | 52.0°F | 55.4°F | +3.4°F | 4 |
| Little Rock, AR | 61.7°F | 64.7°F | +3.0°F | 5 |
| Fayetteville, AR | 57.4°F | 60.2°F | +2.8°F | 5 |
| South Bend, IN | 49.3°F | 52.1°F | +2.8°F | 5 |
| Syracuse, NY | 48.5°F | 51.3°F | +2.8°F | 5 |
| Elgin, IL | 49.0°F | 51.7°F | +2.7°F | 3 |
| Shreveport, LA | 66.6°F | 69.2°F | +2.6°F | 5 |
| St. Paul, MN | 46.5°F | 49.0°F | +2.5°F | 4 |
| Worcester, MA | 48.1°F | 50.6°F | +2.5°F | 5 |
| San Antonio, TX | 69.6°F | 72.0°F | +2.4°F | 5 |
| Lansing, MI | 48.6°F | 51.0°F | +2.4°F | 4 |
| New Bedford, MA | 50.4°F | 52.7°F | +2.3°F | 4 |
| Buffalo, NY | 48.8°F | 51.1°F | +2.3°F | 5 |
| Newark, NJ | 55.5°F | 57.7°F | +2.2°F | 5 |
| College Station, TX | 69.4°F | 71.6°F | +2.2°F | 5 |
| Dallas, TX | 66.6°F | 68.7°F | +2.1°F | 5 |
| Hartford, CT | 51.0°F | 53.1°F | +2.1°F | 5 |
| Baton Rouge, LA | 68.5°F | 70.6°F | +2.1°F | 4 |
| Laredo, TX | 74.6°F | 76.7°F | +2.1°F | 5 |
| Green Bay, WI | 45.7°F | 47.8°F | +2.1°F | 5 |
| El Paso, TX | 66.2°F | 68.2°F | +2.0°F | 5 |
| St. Louis, MO | 57.4°F | 59.4°F | +2.0°F | 5 |
| Minneapolis, MN | 46.9°F | 48.9°F | +2.0°F | 5 |
| Lubbock, TX | 61.4°F | 63.4°F | +2.0°F | 5 |
| Sioux Falls, SD | 47.3°F | 49.3°F | +2.0°F | 5 |
| Baltimore, MD | 56.2°F | 58.2°F | +2.0°F | 5 |
| Fargo, ND | 42.2°F | 44.2°F | +2.0°F | 5 |
| Orlando, FL | 73.0°F | 74.9°F | +1.9°F | 5 |
| Des Moines, IA | 50.9°F | 52.8°F | +1.9°F | 5 |
| Chicago, IL | 51.2°F | 53.1°F | +1.9°F | 5 |
| Jackson, MS | 65.4°F | 67.3°F | +1.9°F | 5 |
| Pasadena, CA | 66.0°F | 67.9°F | +1.9°F | 5 |
| Odessa, TX | 64.8°F | 66.7°F | +1.9°F | 3 |
| Spokane, WA | 48.6°F | 50.5°F | +1.9°F | 5 |
| Madison, WI | 47.0°F | 48.9°F | +1.9°F | 5 |
| Philadelphia, PA | 56.3°F | 58.2°F | +1.9°F | 5 |
| Tyler, TX | 66.6°F | 68.5°F | +1.9°F | 5 |
| Raleigh, NC | 61.2°F | 63.1°F | +1.9°F | 5 |
| West Palm Beach, FL | 75.8°F | 77.6°F | +1.8°F | 5 |
| Pittsburgh, PA | 51.8°F | 53.6°F | +1.8°F | 5 |
| Cedar Rapids, IA | 48.2°F | 50.0°F | +1.8°F | 4 |
| Kansas City, MO | 54.7°F | 56.5°F | +1.8°F | 5 |
| Davenport, IA | 49.9°F | 51.7°F | +1.8°F | 4 |
| Fresno, CA | 65.0°F | 66.8°F | +1.8°F | 5 |
| Rochester, MN | 44.8°F | 46.6°F | +1.8°F | 5 |
| Olathe, KS | 55.1°F | 56.9°F | +1.8°F | 4 |
| St. Petersburg, FL | 73.9°F | 75.7°F | +1.8°F | 3 |
| Salt Lake City, UT | 54.7°F | 56.5°F | +1.8°F | 5 |
| Arlington, TX | 66.8°F | 68.6°F | +1.8°F | 5 |
| Richardson, TX | 65.8°F | 67.6°F | +1.8°F | 5 |
| Wichita Falls, TX | 63.7°F | 65.5°F | +1.8°F | 5 |
| Nashville, TN | 60.8°F | 62.5°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Austin, TX | 70.0°F | 71.7°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Abilene, TX | 66.0°F | 67.7°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Milwaukee, WI | 49.3°F | 51.0°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Atlanta, GA | 63.6°F | 65.3°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Indianapolis, IN | 53.6°F | 55.3°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Charlotte, NC | 61.4°F | 63.1°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Conroe, TX | 67.7°F | 69.4°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Provo, UT | 54.6°F | 56.3°F | +1.7°F | 4 |
| Manchester, NH | 50.1°F | 51.8°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Rockford, IL | 49.4°F | 51.1°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Boston, MA | 51.9°F | 53.6°F | +1.7°F | 5 |
| Joliet, IL | 50.4°F | 52.1°F | +1.7°F | 3 |
| St. George, UT | 62.7°F | 64.3°F | +1.6°F | 5 |
| Columbus, OH | 53.5°F | 55.1°F | +1.6°F | 5 |
| Denton, TX | 64.5°F | 66.1°F | +1.6°F | 5 |
| Detroit, MI | 50.6°F | 52.2°F | +1.6°F | 5 |
| Peoria, IL | 52.7°F | 54.3°F | +1.6°F | 5 |
| Phoenix, AZ | 75.6°F | 77.2°F | +1.6°F | 5 |
| Lakewood, CO | 50.4°F | 52.0°F | +1.6°F | 3 |
| New Orleans, LA | 70.5°F | 72.1°F | +1.6°F | 5 |
| Houston, TX | 70.5°F | 72.1°F | +1.6°F | 5 |
| Oklahoma City, OK | 60.1°F | 61.7°F | +1.6°F | 5 |
| Clarksville, TN | 58.4°F | 59.9°F | +1.5°F | 3 |
| Mobile, AL | 67.6°F | 69.1°F | +1.5°F | 5 |
| Tallahassee, FL | 68.4°F | 69.9°F | +1.5°F | 5 |
| Tampa, FL | 74.5°F | 76.0°F | +1.5°F | 5 |
| Richmond, VA | 59.0°F | 60.5°F | +1.5°F | 5 |
| Lincoln, NE | 52.3°F | 53.8°F | +1.5°F | 5 |
| Eugene, OR | 53.1°F | 54.6°F | +1.5°F | 5 |
| Fort Wayne, IN | 50.9°F | 52.4°F | +1.5°F | 5 |
| Albuquerque, NM | 57.9°F | 59.4°F | +1.5°F | 5 |
| Tucson, AZ | 70.6°F | 72.1°F | +1.5°F | 5 |
| Cincinnati, OH | 54.7°F | 56.1°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Palm Bay, FL | 72.6°F | 74.0°F | +1.4°F | 3 |
| Topeka, KS | 55.8°F | 57.2°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Lakeland, FL | 73.9°F | 75.3°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Greeley, CO | 52.1°F | 53.5°F | +1.4°F | 4 |
| Lafayette, LA | 69.4°F | 70.8°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Boise, ID | 53.2°F | 54.6°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Chattanooga, TN | 61.9°F | 63.3°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Portland, OR | 55.1°F | 56.5°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Louisville, KY | 58.9°F | 60.3°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Waco, TX | 67.1°F | 68.5°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Columbia, MO | 56.0°F | 57.4°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Miami, FL | 77.4°F | 78.8°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| McKinney, TX | 65.0°F | 66.4°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Gainesville, FL | 69.3°F | 70.7°F | +1.4°F | 5 |
| Lexington, KY | 56.3°F | 57.6°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Albany, NY | 49.4°F | 50.7°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Corpus Christi, TX | 73.0°F | 74.3°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Las Cruces, NM | 63.2°F | 64.5°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Colorado Springs, CO | 50.4°F | 51.7°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Suffolk, VA | 59.4°F | 60.7°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Mesa, AZ | 72.2°F | 73.5°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Centennial, CO | 50.2°F | 51.5°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Lancaster, CA | 62.1°F | 63.4°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Birmingham, AL | 63.9°F | 65.2°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| San Angelo, TX | 66.7°F | 68.0°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Fayetteville, NC | 63.0°F | 64.3°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Evansville, IN | 57.2°F | 58.5°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Salem, OR | 54.1°F | 55.4°F | +1.3°F | 5 |
| Rio Rancho, NM | 58.0°F | 59.2°F | +1.2°F | 5 |
| Amarillo, TX | 58.7°F | 59.9°F | +1.2°F | 5 |
| Fort Worth, TX | 66.9°F | 68.1°F | +1.2°F | 5 |
| Salinas, CA | 58.1°F | 59.3°F | +1.2°F | 4 |
| Santa Ana, CA | 64.9°F | 66.1°F | +1.2°F | 3 |
| Ann Arbor, MI | 47.8°F | 49.0°F | +1.2°F | 4 |
| Wilmington, NC | 64.4°F | 65.6°F | +1.2°F | 5 |
| Tulsa, OK | 61.3°F | 62.5°F | +1.2°F | 5 |
| Scottsdale, AZ | 73.2°F | 74.4°F | +1.2°F | 5 |
| Knoxville, TN | 59.6°F | 60.8°F | +1.2°F | 5 |
| Beaumont, TX | 69.9°F | 71.1°F | +1.2°F | 5 |
| Washington, DC | 59.3°F | 60.5°F | +1.2°F | 5 |
| Denver, CO | 51.2°F | 52.3°F | +1.1°F | 5 |
| Fort Collins, CO | 50.7°F | 51.8°F | +1.1°F | 5 |
| New York, NY | 55.8°F | 56.9°F | +1.1°F | 5 |
| Bakersfield, CA | 66.2°F | 67.3°F | +1.1°F | 5 |
| Grand Rapids, MI | 49.3°F | 50.4°F | +1.1°F | 5 |
| Akron, OH | 51.6°F | 52.7°F | +1.1°F | 5 |
| Dayton, OH | 53.9°F | 55.0°F | +1.1°F | 5 |
| Palmdale, CA | 62.6°F | 63.7°F | +1.1°F | 5 |
| San Jose, CA | 60.7°F | 61.8°F | +1.1°F | 5 |
| Tuscaloosa, AL | 64.5°F | 65.6°F | +1.1°F | 5 |
| Fort Lauderdale, FL | 77.2°F | 78.2°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Hollywood, FL | 77.3°F | 78.3°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Billings, MT | 48.2°F | 49.2°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Charleston, SC | 66.5°F | 67.5°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Memphis, TN | 63.4°F | 64.4°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Omaha, NE | 52.4°F | 53.4°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Rochester, NY | 49.5°F | 50.5°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Vancouver, WA | 54.0°F | 55.0°F | +1.0°F | 4 |
| Wichita, KS | 57.7°F | 58.7°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Pompano Beach, FL | 77.2°F | 78.2°F | +1.0°F | 3 |
| Providence, RI | 52.1°F | 53.1°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Everett, WA | 51.4°F | 52.4°F | +1.0°F | 4 |
| Bridgeport, CT | 53.4°F | 54.4°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Athens, GA | 63.0°F | 64.0°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Enterprise, NV | 69.1°F | 70.1°F | +1.0°F | 4 |
| Springfield, MO | 57.4°F | 58.4°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Hillsboro, OR | 52.5°F | 53.5°F | +1.0°F | 5 |
| Brownsville, TX | 76.2°F | 77.1°F | +0.9°F | 5 |
| Las Vegas, NV | 70.1°F | 71.0°F | +0.9°F | 5 |
| Pueblo, CO | 53.2°F | 54.1°F | +0.9°F | 5 |
| Aurora, IL | 50.2°F | 51.1°F | +0.9°F | 5 |
| Columbia, SC | 64.3°F | 65.2°F | +0.9°F | 5 |
| Boulder, CO | 51.5°F | 52.4°F | +0.9°F | 5 |
| Escondido, CA | 65.8°F | 66.6°F | +0.8°F | 5 |
| Savannah, GA | 67.4°F | 68.2°F | +0.8°F | 5 |
| Reno, NV | 55.0°F | 55.8°F | +0.8°F | 5 |
| Fairfield, CA | 61.7°F | 62.5°F | +0.8°F | 4 |
| League City, TX | 70.6°F | 71.4°F | +0.8°F | 3 |
| Toledo, OH | 52.2°F | 53.0°F | +0.8°F | 4 |
| Jacksonville, FL | 69.3°F | 70.1°F | +0.8°F | 5 |
| Cleveland, OH | 52.4°F | 53.1°F | +0.7°F | 5 |
| Burbank, CA | 65.2°F | 65.9°F | +0.7°F | 5 |
| Tacoma, WA | 51.9°F | 52.6°F | +0.7°F | 4 |
| Vacaville, CA | 62.1°F | 62.8°F | +0.7°F | 5 |
| Sacramento, CA | 61.8°F | 62.5°F | +0.7°F | 5 |
| Renton, WA | 53.6°F | 54.3°F | +0.7°F | 3 |
| Long Beach, CA | 64.9°F | 65.6°F | +0.7°F | 5 |
| Oakland, CA | 58.1°F | 58.7°F | +0.6°F | 4 |
| Montgomery, AL | 66.4°F | 67.0°F | +0.6°F | 5 |
| Riverside, CA | 66.2°F | 66.8°F | +0.6°F | 5 |
| Greensboro, NC | 59.6°F | 60.2°F | +0.6°F | 5 |
| Santa Rosa, CA | 58.1°F | 58.7°F | +0.6°F | 5 |
| Norfolk, VA | 61.6°F | 62.2°F | +0.6°F | 5 |
| Honolulu, HI | 78.0°F | 78.6°F | +0.6°F | 5 |
| Oceanside, CA | 61.0°F | 61.5°F | +0.5°F | 4 |
| Hayward, CA | 59.6°F | 60.1°F | +0.5°F | 5 |
| Murfreesboro, TN | 58.9°F | 59.3°F | +0.4°F | 4 |
| Vallejo, CA | 61.6°F | 62.0°F | +0.4°F | 3 |
| Midland, TX | 65.7°F | 66.1°F | +0.4°F | 5 |
| Huntsville, AL | 62.9°F | 63.3°F | +0.4°F | 4 |
| Cary, NC | 59.7°F | 60.1°F | +0.4°F | 5 |
| Columbus, GA | 66.6°F | 66.9°F | +0.3°F | 5 |
| Macon, GA | 65.4°F | 65.7°F | +0.3°F | 5 |
| Anchorage, AK | 37.6°F | 37.8°F | +0.2°F | 5 |
| Concord, CA | 62.0°F | 62.2°F | +0.2°F | 5 |
| Springfield, IL | 54.0°F | 54.2°F | +0.2°F | 4 |
| Stockton, CA | 63.0°F | 63.1°F | +0.1°F | 5 |
| Modesto, CA | 63.1°F | 63.2°F | +0.1°F | 4 |
| Fullerton, CA | 66.2°F | 66.3°F | +0.1°F | 4 |
| McAllen, TX | 77.4°F | 77.5°F | +0.1°F | 5 |
| Chula Vista, CA | 63.3°F | 63.4°F | +0.1°F | 5 |
| Anaheim, CA | 67.7°F | 67.7°F | at normal | 5 |
| Torrance, CA | 63.0°F | 63.0°F | at normal | 5 |
| Allentown, PA | 53.1°F | 53.1°F | at normal | 5 |
| Ontario, CA | 66.8°F | 66.8°F | at normal | 5 |
| Yuma, AZ | 75.9°F | 75.8°F | −0.1°F | 3 |
| High Point, NC | 61.0°F | 60.9°F | −0.1°F | 5 |
| Newport News, VA | 59.5°F | 59.3°F | −0.2°F | 5 |
| Seattle, WA | 53.7°F | 53.5°F | −0.2°F | 5 |
| Los Angeles, CA | 65.8°F | 65.5°F | −0.3°F | 5 |
| El Cajon, CA | 65.2°F | 64.8°F | −0.4°F | 5 |
| Augusta, GA | 65.4°F | 64.9°F | −0.5°F | 4 |
| Santa Maria, CA | 58.6°F | 58.1°F | −0.5°F | 5 |
| Oxnard, CA | 61.2°F | 60.6°F | −0.6°F | 5 |
| San Diego, CA | 64.7°F | 64.0°F | −0.7°F | 5 |
| Irvine, CA | 66.7°F | 65.9°F | −0.8°F | 5 |
| Concord, NC | 60.7°F | 59.5°F | −1.2°F | 5 |
| Fremont, CA | 59.5°F | 58.0°F | −1.5°F | 5 |
| Chesapeake, VA | 63.0°F | 61.2°F | −1.8°F | 3 |
How this was measured
For every Census place of 100,000 or more people, the mean of each complete year from 2021 to 2025 (all twelve months present in ACIS's monthly series, which leaves out any month missing more than three days) at the same NOAA station whose 1991-2020 normal the place's page shows, minus that normal. Places with fewer than three complete years are left out.
What it cannot tell you
A five-year mean against a thirty-year normal shows how recent years compare, not a trend: single years swing by several degrees. The normal ends in 2020, so part of any long-term warming is already inside it. Stations move and change instruments; NOAA adjusts the normals for that, the raw recent years are not adjusted. The coolest departure here is Chesapeake (−1.8°F).
Source: observed years: ACIS (NOAA Regional Climate Centers, GHCN-Daily); normals: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020.