Frost dates by ZIP code: The nearest NOAA stations to your ZIP, 1991-2020 normals

Enter a five-digit ZIP code. PlainClimate finds its center (Census Bureau 2024) and the five nearest NOAA stations with frost dates, and shows each station's last spring and first autumn 32°F dates with its distance and elevation.

Frost dates near ZIP 38016

The USDA's 2023 Plant Hardiness Zone Map puts ZIP 38016 in zone 8a (the coldest night of a typical year: 10 to 15°F).

The nearest station, Memphis Weather Office, TN, is 4 miles from the ZIP's center: its last spring frost comes after March 29 in half of years and after April 13 in one year in ten.

The nearest NOAA stations with frost dates (32°F)
StationDistanceElevationLast frost (median)1 in 10 afterFirst frost (median)Hardiness zone
Memphis Weather Office, TN4 mi310 ftMarch 29April 13November 5–
Germantown, TN4 mi SE7 mi320 ftMarch 22April 9November 78a
Collierville, TN9 mi300 ftMarch 29April 15November 3–
Memphis, TNMemphis International Airport15 mi254 ftMarch 16April 4November 168a
Olive Branch, MS16 mi385 ftMarch 26April 11November 68a

Frost comes later in spring at higher and colder stations and earlier in low, open ground: prefer a station at a similar elevation to yours. Hardiness zone in the table: the USDA's rule (the average of each year's coldest night, 1991-2020) applied to the station's own record.

Every frost threshold at Memphis Weather Office

NOAA publishes the dates for several temperatures and odds. A 30% spring date means a 3-in-10 chance of a later frost (the convention almanacs use); 50% is the median; 10% the cautious date.

Memphis Weather Office, TN: last spring and first autumn dates by threshold and chance (NOAA 1991-2020)
ThresholdSpring, 10%Spring, 30%Spring, 50%Spring, 90%Autumn, 50%Autumn, 10%
36°F (light frost)April 25April 15April 9March 23October 27October 15
32°FApril 13April 4March 29March 9November 5October 25
28°F (hard freeze)April 2March 22March 15February 26November 17November 2
24°FMarch 20March 11March 3February 6December 1November 10

Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 annual normals; ZIP centers: Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer; USDA 2023 Plant Hardiness Zone Map, ZIP listings: PRISM Group, Oregon State University, https://prism.oregonstate.edu, accessed October 8, 2026. Autumn 10%: one year in ten has its first frost before this date.

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