Manchester, Tennessee climate: Normal weather by month, frost dates and records
Manchester's normal year runs from 26°F January nights to 86°F July afternoons, with 59.3 inches of precipitation a year. (NOAA 1991-2020 normals)
In metric: a yearly mean of 13.7°C, January lows of −3°C, July highs of 30°C, 1,505 mm of precipitation a year.
- NOAA stationManchester #2
- Station IDUSC00405595
- Location35.52°N 86.09°W
- Elevation1,070 ft (326 m)
- Population13,484
On October 22, the normal high in Manchester is 69°F and the normal low 42°F, and the chance of measurable rain or snow is 29%.
Normals describe a typical year at the station, not a forecast. The National Weather Service forecast for Manchester.
- Jan 47° 26°
- Feb 51° 29°
- Mar 60° 35°
- Apr 69° 43°
- May 76° 53°
- Jun 84° 61°
- Jul 86° 65°
- Aug 86° 63°
- Sep 80° 57°
- Oct 71° 44°
- Nov 59° 34°
- Dec 51° 30°
Each month: normal high (large) and low, °F. Fill: the month's normal mean, colder blue to hotter red.
What is the weather like in Manchester each month?
July is the warmest month, with normal highs of 86°F; January the coldest, with normal lows of 26°F. The most precipitation falls in December (6.56 in), the least in October (3.46 in).
| Month | High | Low | Mean | Precip. | Wet days | 90°F days | Freezing nights | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 47°F | 26°F | 36.8°F | 5.37 | 12 | <1 | 22 | 10 h |
| February | 51°F | 29°F | 39.9°F | 5.46 | 13 | <1 | 19 | 10 h 50 min |
| March | 60°F | 35°F | 47.4°F | 6.36 | 12 | <1 | 12 | 11 h 50 min |
| April | 69°F | 43°F | 56.0°F | 5.85 | 11 | <1 | 3 | 13 h |
| May | 76°F | 53°F | 64.5°F | 4.33 | 11 | <1 | <1 | 14 h |
| June | 84°F | 61°F | 72.2°F | 5.06 | 10 | 4 | <1 | 14 h 30 min |
| July | 86°F | 65°F | 75.9°F | 4.90 | 12 | 7 | <1 | 14 h 20 min |
| August | 86°F | 63°F | 74.6°F | 3.67 | 11 | 8 | <1 | 13 h 30 min |
| September | 80°F | 57°F | 68.4°F | 4.24 | 8 | 3 | <1 | 12 h 30 min |
| October | 71°F | 44°F | 57.6°F | 3.46 | 9 | <1 | 3 | 11 h 20 min |
| November | 59°F | 34°F | 46.6°F | 4.01 | 9 | <1 | 14 | 10 h 20 min |
| December | 51°F | 30°F | 40.0°F | 6.56 | 13 | <1 | 20 | 9 h 50 min |
| Year (annual) | 68°F | 45°F | 56.7°F | 59.27 | 130 | 23 | 94 |
The same normals in °C and millimetres
| Month | High | Low | Mean | Precip. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 8°C | −3°C | 2.7°C | 136 mm |
| February | 11°C | −2°C | 4.4°C | 139 mm |
| March | 15°C | 2°C | 8.6°C | 162 mm |
| April | 20°C | 6°C | 13.3°C | 149 mm |
| May | 25°C | 11°C | 18.1°C | 110 mm |
| June | 29°C | 16°C | 22.3°C | 129 mm |
| July | 30°C | 19°C | 24.4°C | 124 mm |
| August | 30°C | 17°C | 23.7°C | 93 mm |
| September | 27°C | 14°C | 20.2°C | 108 mm |
| October | 22°C | 7°C | 14.2°C | 88 mm |
| November | 15°C | 1°C | 8.1°C | 102 mm |
| December | 10°C | −1°C | 4.4°C | 167 mm |
NOAA publishes no 1991-2020 snowfall normal for this station. The nearest record that keeps one, Tullahoma (14 miles away), gets 3 inches of snow in a normal year; elevation and distance can change that.
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 monthly normals, station USC00405595; annual normals. Wet days: 0.01 inch or more; 90°F days and freezing nights: NOAA's day counts. Daylight: sunrise to sunset on the 15th, computed from the latitude.
When is the best weather to visit Manchester?
Normal highs sit between 65°F and 85°F in April, May, June, September and October. Of those, September has the fewest days with rain (8).
That is a measurement, not a recommendation: it counts the months whose normal afternoon high sits between 65°F and 85°F, where a light layer is enough by day.
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 monthly normals, station USC00405595.
When is the last frost in Manchester?
In Manchester, the last spring frost (32°F) comes after April 13 in half of years and after April 30 in one year in ten; the first autumn frost comes before October 24 in half of years and before October 11 in one year in ten.
Frost-free in half of yearsFrost in 1 to 9 years out of 10Frost most years
- Last spring frost, half of years after
- April 131 year in 10 after April 30; 9 in 10 after March 27
- First autumn frost, half of years before
- October 241 year in 10 before October 11; 9 in 10 before November 5
NOAA puts the median frost-free season at 192 days, and the season without a hard freeze (28°F) at 214 days.
A hard freeze (28°F) comes after April 1 in half of springs and before November 1 in half of autumns.
The USDA's 2023 Plant Hardiness Zone Map puts Manchester in zone 7b in ZIP code 37355, the nearest ZIP area. By the map's own method, the average of each year's coldest night over 1991-2020, Manchester's NOAA station is in zone 7b: the coldest night of a typical year reaches 7°F (15 complete years).
Frost dates for every NOAA station in Tennessee · Frost dates by ZIP code
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 annual normals (frost probabilities), station USC00405595; USDA 2023 Plant Hardiness Zone Map, ZIP listings: PRISM Group, Oregon State University, https://prism.oregonstate.edu, accessed October 8, 2026; the station zone: ACIS daily lows, 1991-2020. A 10% date means one year in ten has a frost after it in spring or before it in autumn.
How hot and how cold does it get in Manchester?
In a normal year in Manchester, 23 days a year reach 90°F (1 of them 100°F or more), 94 nights fall to 32°F or colder and 130 days bring measurable precipitation.
- Days at 90°F or more
- 23a normal year
- Days at 100°F or more
- 1a normal year
- Nights at 32°F or colder
- 94a normal year
- Days that stay below freezing
- 7high of 32°F or less
- Days with 0.01 inch of precipitation
- 130a normal year
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 annual normals, station USC00405595.
How sunny is Manchester?
Over a year 75% of the sunlight that would reach the ground under clear skies gets through the clouds in the area around Manchester, 4.3 kWh per square metre a day. June is the sunniest month (80%) and February the cloudiest (63%).
| Month | Share of clear-sky sunshine | Sunshine, kWh/m² a day |
|---|---|---|
| January | 66% | 2.3 |
| February | 63% | 2.9 |
| March | 68% | 4.0 |
| April | 75% | 5.3 |
| May | 76% | 5.9 |
| June | 80% | 6.4 |
| July | 79% | 6.1 |
| August | 80% | 5.5 |
| September | 79% | 4.8 |
| October | 76% | 3.7 |
| November | 75% | 2.8 |
| December | 65% | 2.0 |
Source: NASA POWER solar climatology, 2001-2020 (CERES SYN1deg). Satellite-based, for the 1-degree cell (about 100 km across) around the station, so it describes the area rather than the airport.
How much heating and cooling does Manchester need?
A normal year in Manchester brings 4,137 heating degree days, 23% fewer than the median U.S. place (5,373), and 1,129 cooling degree days, 24% more than the median (908). Five months need 300 or more heating degree days, a monthly mean of about 55°F or colder. For gardens and crops, NOAA counts 3,959 growing degree days a year above 50°F.
| Month | Heating | Cooling |
|---|---|---|
| January | 873 | 0 |
| February | 702 | 0 |
| March | 547 | 3 |
| April | 286 | 18 |
| May | 97 | 81 |
| June | 6 | 222 |
| July | 0 | 337 |
| August | 2 | 299 |
| September | 41 | 143 |
| October | 255 | 24 |
| November | 553 | 2 |
| December | 775 | 0 |
| Year (annual) | 4,137 | 1,129 |
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 monthly normals, station USC00405595. A degree day is one degree of a day's mean temperature below 65°F (heating) or above it (cooling); utilities use them to estimate energy use.
How does Manchester's climate compare?
Manchester is warmer than 19 of the other 115 places with their own NOAA record in Tennessee, and wetter than 90. Across the 7,247 U.S. stations with normals, its annual mean of 56.7°F is warmer than 66%.
In the Köppen classification computed from these normals, Manchester is Cfa: temperate, no dry season, hot summer. What the classes mean.
Places with the most similar year elsewhere
Measured month by month on the normal high, low and precipitation, among places of 20,000 or more people in other states:
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 normals for every station PlainClimate covers. Similarity: the root-mean-square difference of the 36 monthly figures, precipitation weighted so an inch counts like 6°F.
Which places near Manchester share this climate record?
2 places have no NOAA station with 1991-2020 normals of their own, and this station is the nearest full record. A place's own climate can differ from these figures, by several degrees where it sits much higher or lower than the station, nearer the coast, or inside a large city's heat; for the larger places the next nearest records are named with their yearly mean, so the spread around them is visible, and places of 50,000 or more have their own page with NOAA's gridded normals.
- New Union, TN2,208 people · 1 mi N
- Hillsboro, TN370 people · 11 mi SE
Source: Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer (place centers) and Vintage 2024 population estimates. Distance and direction from the station to each place's center.
Questions about Manchester's climate
What is the coldest month in Manchester?
January, with a normal high of 47°F and a normal low of 26°F. The warmest is July (86°F by day, 65°F at night).
Does it snow in Manchester?
Yes. NOAA publishes no 1991-2020 snowfall normal for Manchester's NOAA station; the nearest record that keeps one, Tullahoma (14 miles away), records 3 inches of snow in a normal year.
What is the rainiest month in Manchester?
December, with 6.56 in of precipitation in a normal year; the driest is October with 3.46 in.
What plant hardiness zone is Manchester in?
The USDA's 2023 map puts Manchester in zone 7b in ZIP code 37355, the nearest ZIP area. By the same method at Manchester's NOAA station, the coldest night of a typical year reaches 7°F (15 years, 1991-2020): zone 7b.
How late can frost come in Manchester?
In half of years the last 32°F night comes after April 13; in one year in ten it comes after April 30. Waiting until April 30 leaves about a one-in-ten chance of a later frost.
Nearby and next
- Tennessee climateThe statewide normals and every place in the state
- Wartrace, TN8 miles from this station, 56.7°F a year
- Tullahoma, TN14 miles from this station, 58.7°F a year
- McMinnville, TN21 miles from this station, 60.2°F a year
- Lynchburg, TN22 miles from this station, 58.1°F a year
- Compare two placesMonth by month, side by side
Download these normals (CSV) · JSON · How these figures are made