Carmel, New York climate: Normal weather by month, frost dates and records
Carmel's normal year runs from 16°F January nights to 78°F July afternoons, with 50.4 inches of precipitation a year. (NOAA 1991-2020 normals)
In metric: a yearly mean of 8.9°C, January lows of −9°C, July highs of 26°C, 1,279 mm of precipitation a year.
- NOAA stationCarmel (4 mi N)
- Station IDUSC00301211
- Location41.47°N 73.66°W
- Elevation680 ft (207 m)
- Population (census place)7,222
On October 22, the normal high in Carmel is 58°F and the normal low 39°F, and the chance of measurable rain or snow is 38%.
Normals describe a typical year at the station, not a forecast. The National Weather Service forecast for Carmel.
- Jan 33° 16°
- Feb 36° 19°
- Mar 44° 26°
- Apr 57° 37°
- May 67° 47°
- Jun 74° 56°
- Jul 78° 61°
- Aug 76° 60°
- Sep 70° 53°
- Oct 60° 41°
- Nov 49° 32°
- Dec 39° 23°
Each month: normal high (large) and low, °F. Fill: the month's normal mean, colder blue to hotter red.
What is the weather like in Carmel each month?
July is the warmest month, with normal highs of 78°F; January the coldest, with normal lows of 16°F. The most precipitation falls in December (4.97 in), the least in February (2.98 in).
| Month | High | Low | Mean | Precip. | Wet days | 90°F days | Freezing nights | Daylight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 33°F | 16°F | 24.7°F | 3.90 | 13 | <1 | 29 | 9 h 30 min |
| February | 36°F | 19°F | 27.7°F | 2.98 | 11 | <1 | 26 | 10 h 40 min |
| March | 44°F | 26°F | 34.9°F | 4.15 | 12 | <1 | 24 | 11 h 50 min |
| April | 57°F | 37°F | 46.8°F | 3.55 | 14 | <1 | 8 | 13 h 20 min |
| May | 67°F | 47°F | 56.8°F | 4.08 | 15 | <1 | 1 | 14 h 30 min |
| June | 74°F | 56°F | 64.7°F | 4.56 | 13 | <1 | <1 | 15 h 10 min |
| July | 78°F | 61°F | 69.5°F | 4.22 | 12 | 1 | <1 | 14 h 50 min |
| August | 76°F | 60°F | 68.1°F | 4.90 | 11 | 1 | <1 | 13 h 50 min |
| September | 70°F | 53°F | 61.4°F | 4.92 | 10 | <1 | <1 | 12 h 30 min |
| October | 60°F | 41°F | 50.2°F | 4.21 | 13 | <1 | 4 | 11 h 10 min |
| November | 49°F | 32°F | 40.2°F | 3.91 | 11 | <1 | 19 | 9 h 50 min |
| December | 39°F | 23°F | 30.8°F | 4.97 | 13 | <1 | 26 | 9 h 10 min |
| Year (annual) | 57°F | 39°F | 48.0°F | 50.35 | 147 | 2 | 137 |
The same normals in °C and millimetres
| Month | High | Low | Mean | Precip. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1°C | −9°C | −4.1°C | 99 mm |
| February | 2°C | −7°C | −2.4°C | 76 mm |
| March | 6°C | −3°C | 1.6°C | 105 mm |
| April | 14°C | 3°C | 8.2°C | 90 mm |
| May | 19°C | 8°C | 13.8°C | 104 mm |
| June | 23°C | 13°C | 18.2°C | 116 mm |
| July | 26°C | 16°C | 20.8°C | 107 mm |
| August | 24°C | 16°C | 20.1°C | 124 mm |
| September | 21°C | 12°C | 16.3°C | 125 mm |
| October | 15°C | 5°C | 10.1°C | 107 mm |
| November | 9°C | 0°C | 4.6°C | 99 mm |
| December | 4°C | −5°C | −0.7°C | 126 mm |
NOAA publishes no 1991-2020 snowfall normal for this station. The nearest record that keeps one, Stormville (6 miles away), gets 58 inches of snow in a normal year; elevation and distance can change that.
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 monthly normals, station USC00301211; annual normals. Wet days: 0.01 inch or more; 90°F days and freezing nights: NOAA's day counts. Daylight: sunrise to sunset on the 15th, computed from the latitude.
When is the best weather to visit Carmel?
Normal highs sit between 65°F and 85°F in May, June, July, August and September. Of those, September has the fewest days with rain (10).
That is a measurement, not a recommendation: it counts the months whose normal afternoon high sits between 65°F and 85°F, where a light layer is enough by day.
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 monthly normals, station USC00301211.
When is the last frost in Carmel?
In Carmel, the last spring frost (32°F) comes after April 28 in half of years and after May 14 in one year in ten; the first autumn frost comes before October 16 in half of years and before October 3 in one year in ten.
Frost-free in half of yearsFrost in 1 to 9 years out of 10Frost most years
- Last spring frost, half of years after
- April 281 year in 10 after May 14; 9 in 10 after April 14
- First autumn frost, half of years before
- October 161 year in 10 before October 3; 9 in 10 before November 1
NOAA puts the median frost-free season at 170 days, and the season without a hard freeze (28°F) at 196 days.
A hard freeze (28°F) comes after April 13 in half of springs and before October 28 in half of autumns.
The USDA's 2023 Plant Hardiness Zone Map puts Carmel in zone 6b in ZIP code 10512. By the map's own method, the average of each year's coldest night over 1991-2020, Carmel's NOAA station is in zone 6b: the coldest night of a typical year reaches −5°F (18 complete years).
Frost dates for every NOAA station in New York · Frost dates by ZIP code
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 annual normals (frost probabilities), station USC00301211; USDA 2023 Plant Hardiness Zone Map, ZIP listings: PRISM Group, Oregon State University, https://prism.oregonstate.edu, accessed October 8, 2026; the station zone: ACIS daily lows, 1991-2020. A 10% date means one year in ten has a frost after it in spring or before it in autumn.
How hot and how cold does it get in Carmel?
In a normal year in Carmel, 2 days a year reach 90°F, 137 nights fall to 32°F or colder and 147 days bring measurable precipitation.
- Days at 90°F or more
- 2a normal year
- Days at 100°F or more
- fewer than 1a normal year
- Nights at 32°F or colder
- 137a normal year
- Days that stay below freezing
- 35high of 32°F or less
- Days with 0.01 inch of precipitation
- 147a normal year
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 annual normals, station USC00301211.
How sunny is Carmel?
Over a year 72% of the sunlight that would reach the ground under clear skies gets through the clouds in the area around Carmel, 3.9 kWh per square metre a day. July is the sunniest month (79%) and December the cloudiest (65%).
| Month | Share of clear-sky sunshine | Sunshine, kWh/m² a day |
|---|---|---|
| January | 68% | 1.8 |
| February | 70% | 2.7 |
| March | 68% | 3.7 |
| April | 69% | 4.8 |
| May | 69% | 5.4 |
| June | 74% | 5.9 |
| July | 79% | 6.0 |
| August | 78% | 5.3 |
| September | 77% | 4.3 |
| October | 70% | 2.9 |
| November | 70% | 2.0 |
| December | 65% | 1.5 |
Source: NASA POWER solar climatology, 2001-2020 (CERES SYN1deg). Satellite-based, for the 1-degree cell (about 100 km across) around the station, so it describes the area rather than the airport.
How much heating and cooling does Carmel need?
A normal year in Carmel brings 6,574 heating degree days, 22% more than the median U.S. place (5,373), and 405 cooling degree days, 55% fewer than the median (908). Seven months need 300 or more heating degree days, a monthly mean of about 55°F or colder. For gardens and crops, NOAA counts 2,370 growing degree days a year above 50°F.
| Month | Heating | Cooling |
|---|---|---|
| January | 1,249 | 0 |
| February | 1,044 | 0 |
| March | 933 | 0 |
| April | 548 | 3 |
| May | 269 | 15 |
| June | 79 | 70 |
| July | 13 | 153 |
| August | 27 | 123 |
| September | 148 | 40 |
| October | 459 | 2 |
| November | 746 | 0 |
| December | 1,059 | 0 |
| Year (annual) | 6,574 | 405 |
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 monthly normals, station USC00301211. A degree day is one degree of a day's mean temperature below 65°F (heating) or above it (cooling); utilities use them to estimate energy use.
Has Carmel been warmer than normal lately?
2023 averaged 50.0°F, 2.0°F above the 1991-2020 normal of 48.0°F. 3 of the 3 complete years since 2021 ran warmer than the normal.
| Year | Mean | Against normal | Precip. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 49.5°F | +1.5°F | 57.05 |
| 2022 | 48.9°F | +0.9°F | 41.73 |
| 2023 | 50.0°F | +2.0°F | 65.21 |
Source: observed years: ACIS, station USC00301211. A year counts only with all twelve months complete.
How does Carmel's climate compare?
Carmel is warmer than 75 of the other 130 places with their own NOAA record in New York, and wetter than 107. Across the 7,247 U.S. stations with normals, its annual mean of 48.0°F is warmer than 32%.
In the Köppen classification computed from these normals, Carmel is Dfb: continental, no dry season, warm summer. What the classes mean.
Places with the most similar year elsewhere
Measured month by month on the normal high, low and precipitation, among places of 20,000 or more people in other states:
Source: NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 normals for every station PlainClimate covers. Similarity: the root-mean-square difference of the 36 monthly figures, precipitation weighted so an inch counts like 6°F.
Which places near Carmel share this climate record?
29 places have no NOAA station with 1991-2020 normals of their own, and this station is the nearest full record. A place's own climate can differ from these figures, by several degrees where it sits much higher or lower than the station, nearer the coast, or inside a large city's heat; for the larger places the next nearest records are named with their yearly mean, so the spread around them is visible, and places of 50,000 or more have their own page with NOAA's gridded normals.
- Lake Carmel, NY8,090 people · 1 mi SW
- New Milford, CT28,745 people · 15 mi NE
- Ball Pond, CT2,623 people · 7 mi E
- Bethlehem Village, CT2,275 people · 26 mi NE
- Newtown, CT1,980 people · 18 mi E
- Ridgebury, CT1,949 people · 10 mi SE
- Woodbury Center, CT1,491 people · 24 mi E
- Lakes West, CT1,308 people · 12 mi SE
- Inglenook, CT1,162 people · 10 mi E
- Bigelow Corners, CT841 people · 8 mi E
- Candlewood Orchards, CT683 people · 11 mi E
- Gaylordsville, CT659 people · 15 mi NE
- Candlewood Isle, CT569 people · 11 mi E
- Candlewood Shores, CT534 people · 11 mi E
- Taylor Corners, CT501 people · 7 mi E
- Mamanasco Lake, CT462 people · 12 mi SE
- West Mountain, CT418 people · 13 mi SE
- Lakeside Woods, CT379 people · 11 mi NE
- Knollcrest, CT277 people · 10 mi E
- Candlewood Lake Club, CT235 people · 11 mi E
- Brookfield Center, CT201 people · 14 mi E
- Bogus Hill, CT163 people · 10 mi E
- Candlewood Knolls, CT150 people · 10 mi E
- Bridgewater, CT1,671 people · 16 mi E
- Sail Harbor, CT136 people · 11 mi E
- Hawleyville, CT131 people · 16 mi E
- Chimney Point, CT112 people · 11 mi E
- Sherman, CT3,601 people · 11 mi NE
- Kellogg Point, CT23 people · 10 mi E
Source: Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer (place centers) and Vintage 2024 population estimates. Distance and direction from the station to each place's center.
Questions about Carmel's climate
What is the coldest month in Carmel?
January, with a normal high of 33°F and a normal low of 16°F. The warmest is July (78°F by day, 61°F at night).
Does it snow in Carmel?
Yes. NOAA publishes no 1991-2020 snowfall normal for Carmel's NOAA station; the nearest record that keeps one, Stormville (6 miles away), records 58 inches of snow in a normal year.
What is the rainiest month in Carmel?
December, with 4.97 in of precipitation in a normal year; the driest is February with 2.98 in.
What plant hardiness zone is Carmel in?
The USDA's 2023 map puts Carmel in zone 6b in ZIP code 10512. By the same method at Carmel's NOAA station, the coldest night of a typical year reaches −5°F (18 years, 1991-2020): zone 6b.
How late can frost come in Carmel?
In half of years the last 32°F night comes after April 28; in one year in ten it comes after May 14. Waiting until May 14 leaves about a one-in-ten chance of a later frost.
Nearby and next
- New York climateThe statewide normals and every place in the state
- Stormville, NY6 miles from this station, 50.4°F a year
- Danbury, CT11 miles from this station, 49.6°F a year
- Shrub Oak, NY14 miles from this station, 50.2°F a year
- Poughkeepsie, NY16 miles from this station, 50.5°F a year
- Compare two placesMonth by month, side by side
Download these normals (CSV) · JSON · How these figures are made